CASE STUDY PRESENTATION

Tårnby Cuts Building Heat Use with AI Forecasting

Tårnby cut heat use in 37 public buildings with sensors, weather forecasts and AI control, saving energy, CO2 and costs.

Case Study
MitigationStationary energyImplementation & operationsPhysical/technical solutionsResource efficiencyEconomic development

Use room sensors, weather forecasts and AI to lower flow temperatures before weather shifts, cutting heat without sacrificing indoor comfort.

The big idea
  • 15% lower heat use
  • 365 tons CO2 cut yearly
  • 5.84m kr. saved over 5 years
So what?
1

The Challenge

Tårnby’s municipal buildings used roughly the same amount of gas and district heating year after year, regardless of weather variation. The municipality needed a way to manage heat use across many buildings at an acceptable cost. It also lacked detailed room-level insight into temperature and humidity, making it harder to spot overheating, faults or open windows quickly.

2

The Plan

The plan was to combine sensors, weather forecasts, existing building control systems and AI in a plug-and-play platform. Instead of heating based only on current outdoor conditions, the system anticipates weather changes and adjusts the heating system in time. Staff then use the data to correct manual issues and improve day-to-day operation.

  1. Step 1

    The municipality looked beyond a classic EMS and sought a solution that fit its building portfolio and budget.

  2. Step 2

    Sensors were used to measure room temperatures and humidity, while existing EMS/CTS data and weather data were connected to the platform.

  3. Step 3

    Automatic forecast control adjusted the outdoor sensor signal and lowered flow temperatures based on expected weather and indoor conditions.

  4. Step 4

    AI was used to refine the heating response over time across changing weather, indoor climate and temperature conditions.

  5. Step 5

    Staff monitored the digital platform to detect overheated rooms, drops in temperature and potential issues such as unclosed windows.

3

The Results

15%

Heat use reduction

365 tons CO2/yr

Annual emission cut

5.84 mio. kr.

Five-year savings

37

Buildings connected

Tårnby reports a 15% average reduction in heat use, equal to 22.4 kWh/m², with around 10% expected directly from forecast control. Across the 37 connected buildings, the old heat consumption of 84 kWh/m² fell to 74 kWh/m². The municipality also saved around 250,000 DKK per year on district heating penalty fees and expects a five-year financial gain of 5.84 million DKK.

4

Key Lessons

Data access was the key enabler: once Tårnby could see room temperatures and connect them to weather-led control, it could act faster and reduce waste. The approach works best when technical tools are paired with staff time, building-level engagement and support to use the digital platform.

  • Flat heat use each year
  • No room climate data
  • High return-water fees
Before
  • Forecast-led heat control
  • Rooms held near 19°C
  • Fees turned into rebates
After